Will $TON618 still be worth at least 0.5x the price it had before betting opened?

$TON618 · TON 618 · CioP…pump

Final odds at close: 0% HOLDS / 0% FOLDS

Decom-Dave · QC desk

It didn't hold. 0% knew. They'll tell you about it.

It folded

Holds: The median price over the final 6 hours before 11 Oct 02:00 UTC is at least 0.5x the median over the 6 hours before betting opened.
Folds: It is below that.
Refund: The price couldn't be read, or danger appeared while betting was open.

Calls close 09 Oct 02:00 UTC; resolved 11 Oct 02:00 UTC.

Before you call it

Price now: not read in the last 30 minutes.

Betting closed

WATCH IT The maker's moved some around. Not a sale, but I noticed.

The coin, in detail

CioPfvQWpVF2eTzpBj72x2zPyqgJRgvi36PqdLCCpump

DexScreener GeckoTerminal Solscan Dave's full file on this coin

The chart is DexScreener's. It can't touch this page. If anything in it asks your wallet for something, that isn't me: say no. They do see your connection.

How it launched

CLEAN LAUNCH

Clean launch: nobody but the maker bought in the launch block; he took 6.3 %.

Also in block 0: 1 sniper (0.9 %).
The next 2 blocks: 1.8 % more, to other buyers.

Price $0.0000399 · DexScreener, 13:57 UTC
Market cap $38.1k · DexScreener, 13:57 UTC
Liquidity $17.3k · DexScreener, 13:57 UTC
Age 4 days since the pool opened · DexScreener, 13:57 UTC
Volume, 24 h $27k · DexScreener, 13:57 UTC
Buys, last hour 11 · DexScreener, 13:57 UTC
Sells, last hour 8 · DexScreener, 13:57 UTC
Holders 276 · Helius, 13:57 UTC
Top 10 hold 33% · Helius, 13:57 UTC
Top holder 4% · Helius, 13:57 UTC
Snipers 1 · Helius, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Dave's $100 sell test got back $96 · Jupiter, 13:57 UTC
Maker sold not sold, but moved or sent some in his last 100 transactions · Helius, 13:57 UTC

What Dave likes

My sell test got most of it back.
Nobody can mint more or freeze wallets.
The top ten don't hold most of it.
Clean launch: nobody but the maker bought in the launch block.

This is a points call, not a trade. Nothing is bought or sold, and no wallet is needed.

As I read it when betting opened (08 Oct 14:00 UTC)

My label then: WATCH IT
Liquidity: $30178.57
Age: 42.54 h since it graduated
Coins like this at 0.5x: Not measured yet. My own test is still running.

Pools (LP):

34w9ReB7…: burned

The maker is out: the creator and the wallets I tied to them hold under 1%. The list (23).

Callers' wallets I know of are on the list too. I can't see the ones I don't know.

Alpha: points only. No money.Real money comes later.

Wallets I count as insiders

34w9ReB7AX8DSv3hiZt28nXztKFWwttARW2NwCsXYqrx
4CWqgq13AVYRDFCczuy2UvMpvNYGjmWfncBFTJyeNKq8
5m1Yep2wUzXnb9ypGREyDb3v8Q8RTT5ejVLnEXiTALRh
6t3EBNhKeei1zFc8yqrGvG94yxxyNo6msQDs3CjUAKQw
8t4tWgwXhJJiNRqsXquNeK9AXzQpvREC86NSaLNKXr7K
9BGZ2iRNXGjS2ZAfPiGCoHRr32UrauU83eBBFtgyoULS
9UZ9Tjac7nrBiSfYYTVqFSUCnhkBWMPDj9X4EWKrHYEV
ATRsNGv2nDw7hSMfkUTBoVUDsFDwN7po7KbecyiGWNB4
AX7ha1PJ1QSmtXaHy36Zao4YxgaQUheGGn9ruhzMHgkD
B95RBkk6Xir5pyt24r6uJgjfuMqRyHt5KBRuQAYFcuu1
BRQAfsqFz9GWqGvJnSG85VCu5HUw7tfufu2bq7oo96y9
BwxirypQ7FQvE4W5eLf5RjMNxGwwXERGQZ85hY9uZeeD
E7uzG3uubvxB7nbybcPeZSwGg3hZRCy8TbagVm5k7BP3
EMFHL9NPcdMjY82C9sS518XLCGRmN2qro4BD6ME81kUo
EPfymziwqwYD3CcKVcS2LC3UDbyAitR6MHzX4MVUTA6K
EuYBtLsMWaA25EdceYUZLVgjvC8m1dDSxFKkzgQAjrvD
FEfVckU9913cDPCKAB1v5KauMYMmrVgPT3PsmvKZXd1P
FWVZYLZeiAqGXFU1NP8KzZPJiuXgW5gsJyxkFtd7wRXz
FrgeTrnkC85NGc6cupsW95tyGDENpb3ZF7v6DbnDb66g
GxAe1e3w4jbXeiuFDYZFjkms74BSYzhNAyPMFLD73Snt
JB5C8WPTk58u2nw65feMw3pGuUbYvmdHEuSRnoQn8VNX
Sccqzha4HgbjPtiC8T8cTdKLkT3eNZZpd1gci32u9hm
WyFpFR6cChujA1ZAoaAViW2wAsw4AuGhGd6QWEwCFge

My label now, since betting opened: not read yet

The evidence. Anyone can recompute it. Flagged 0 times: flag this result in the Terminal.

Points only. The board is the only prize. Nothing here is ever redeemable: no prize, no airdrop, no token. Stamps are for show.