Will $Ash still be worth at least 0.5x the price it had before betting opened?

$Ash · Ash Ketchum · F5Wv…sDJs

Final odds at close: 100% HOLDS / 0% FOLDS

Decom-Dave · QC desk

Folded under 0.5x. 100% of you believed. That's the lesson, really.

It folded

Holds: The median price over the final 6 hours before 09 Oct 02:00 UTC is at least 0.5x the median over the 6 hours before betting opened.
Folds: It is below that.
Refund: The price couldn't be read, or danger appeared while betting was open.

Calls close 07 Oct 02:00 UTC; resolved 09 Oct 02:00 UTC.

Before you call it

Price now: not read in the last 30 minutes.

Betting closed

NOTHING FOUND I didn't find anything that looks malicious. Fresh coins can still go to zero. That's on you.

DEV BOUGHT 26.6 % AT LAUNCH

The coin, in detail

F5WvFdG9sCfhv3bVYAMJNWiwpx5e3X2uvpXDtLtdsDJs

DexScreener GeckoTerminal Solscan Dave's full file on this coin

The chart is DexScreener's. It can't touch this page. If anything in it asks your wallet for something, that isn't me: say no. They do see your connection.

DEV BOUGHT 26.6 % AT LAUNCH

How it launched

DEV BOUGHT 26.6 % AT LAUNCH

The maker bought 26.6 % himself in the launch block.

Also in block 0: 6 snipers (11.6 %).
The next 2 blocks: 3.3 % more, to other buyers.

Price $0.000111 · DexScreener, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Market cap $109.3k · DexScreener, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Liquidity $36.5k · DexScreener, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Age 7 days since the pool opened · DexScreener, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Volume, 24 h $43.3k · DexScreener, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Buys, last hour 22 · DexScreener, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Sells, last hour 17 · DexScreener, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Holders 374 · Helius, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Top 10 hold 26% · Helius, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Top holder 5% · Helius, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Snipers 6 · Helius, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Dave's $100 sell test got back $97 · Jupiter, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Maker sold not in his last 100 transactions · Helius, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC

What Dave likes

My sell test got most of it back.
Nobody can mint more or freeze wallets.
The top ten don't hold most of it.
The maker hasn't sold, as far back as I looked.

This is a points call, not a trade. Nothing is bought or sold, and no wallet is needed.

As I read it when betting opened (06 Oct 14:00 UTC)

My label then: WATCH IT
Liquidity: $54448.24
Age: 46.35 h since it graduated
Coins like this at 0.5x: Not measured yet. My own test is still running.

Pools (LP):

6e4wZ83x…: burned

The maker is out: the creator and the wallets I tied to them hold under 1%. The list (22).

Callers' wallets I know of are on the list too. I can't see the ones I don't know.

Alpha: points only. No money.Real money comes later.

Wallets I count as insiders

3STJ26z8FU9ZAeKDbEZ1Qf1BS757N39kT3zVWJtncYcA
4aokzp7Ndbd3cqCo5HmCDumbyn2BzgQKmBREM45aqhzE
5RZwRH6BJ6vAfoFHSmmH4Wkjzb4yU5nkVz7gXjhJ2gsz
62EZ8dDgpmABVApEMPd3yE7HiTafrx8bRrBZwPUAqvpD
6TC9GCk4yTT3F2yJa8sN3EYXXCcGcrSGMwsEvSvXt9aZ
6e4wZ83xEmcj3LP9JNwzncW2hu3qXDEKLQUw3G6LKT8U
7WwW3gbcXgsq57fb3R1hGeX2o7xYcyCUCaNwfqRWSyTD
7y75CqEhYc8Dw6xz2CpTxrsTG7oMKFkR4ezG78myjHLE
8TbLzbueDTynCUT55HLAFoikxnmt2gGuGv7MMnSXx6mV
8g1YWuqTqdebAFdSTEyZ4NJT4ajW2KEyPdgc24qwuLUL
9DXhSifXXBTwPJmQS5o9YmE5vtyva9uGRPTpiXWw2K5L
9UGPou7RUBphXLt37nD3JiZSrHWQaQ73ebDs28yaUWRy
A43w4EmVXfPd2NN1Cob9jHHPSjuVSCFX2joADC93YWyy
AEtL29wgARtujVynpgoDtUMLvM7NmZ6WALcjD2NjU8Dk
AXN4A7HNzncqzD9KGSbiSzE58vqvQmQxn8jhfYCKx9ai
Az5LaWdsudXdjyNc3rALDmGPBqArjiXyBqEoa2LMy9rE
BYNX3AtGxGqmRfg7Nzvocr9rpuU4FfqNuW3f3FiaKsYv
CKJh25XFzf1mkUNZGY5c9GfhgFA6Hzn5GjDpgNjZM46s
Dgehc8YMv6dHsiPJVoumvq4pSBkMVvrTgTUg7wdcYJPJ
Fc719KgEtGsfq2gRG6RJd43qiyXrkuJzNPZPsYLUt4mZ
G2fKn4MynRWhjyNKiDU79eymrTLYoNpJGSQMtZpGLgPE
GdCpoDn4BTdsqrNWtRLF3vmJEDMjN6816u1KYFMmH6F7

My label now, since betting opened: not read yet

The evidence. Anyone can recompute it. Flagged 0 times: flag this result in the Terminal.

Points only. The board is the only prize. Nothing here is ever redeemable: no prize, no airdrop, no token. Stamps are for show.