Will $SHITCOIN still be worth at least 0.5x the price it had before betting opened?

$SHITCOIN · The Shitcoin Miner · 4BxB…H9Jo

Final odds at close: 0% HOLDS / 0% FOLDS

Decom-Dave · QC desk

A draw. The data wasn't good enough, and I won't invent it.

No result

Refunded: the two price sources disagreed by more than 3%

A refund doesn't count for or against anyone's score.

Holds: The median price over the final 6 hours before 07 Oct 02:00 UTC is at least 0.5x the median over the 6 hours before betting opened.
Folds: It is below that.
Refund: The price couldn't be read, or danger appeared while betting was open.

Calls close 05 Oct 02:00 UTC; resolved 07 Oct 02:00 UTC.

Before you call it

Price now: not read in the last 30 minutes.

Betting closed

RED FLAGS Ten wallets hold most of it. The exit's narrow.

The coin, in detail

4BxBot4K36N3ZZkpB9sqEocy5iBi8cUttK6s8YbHH9Jo

DexScreener GeckoTerminal Solscan Dave's full file on this coin

The chart is DexScreener's. It can't touch this page. If anything in it asks your wallet for something, that isn't me: say no. They do see your connection.

How it launched

CLEAN LAUNCH

Clean launch: nobody but the maker bought in the launch block; he took 5.3 %.

Also in block 0: 1 sniper (1.3 %).

Price $0.00000538 · DexScreener, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Market cap $5.2k · DexScreener, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Liquidity $4.7k · DexScreener, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Age 8 days since the pool opened · DexScreener, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Volume, 24 h $116 · DexScreener, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Buys, last hour 1 · DexScreener, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Sells, last hour 0 · DexScreener, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Holders 39 · Helius, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Top 10 hold 92% · Helius, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Top holder 27% · Helius, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Snipers 1 · Helius, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Dave's $100 sell test got back $92 · Jupiter, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Maker's wallet age 11 hours old when it graduated · Helius, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC
Maker sold not in his last 100 transactions · Helius, 10 Oct 16:44 UTC

What Dave likes

My sell test got most of it back.
Nobody can mint more or freeze wallets.
The maker hasn't sold, as far back as I looked.
Clean launch: nobody but the maker bought in the launch block.

This is a points call, not a trade. Nothing is bought or sold, and no wallet is needed.

As I read it when betting opened (04 Oct 14:00 UTC)

My label then: WATCH IT
Liquidity: $13946.64
Age: 33.64 h since it graduated
Coins like this at 0.5x: Not measured yet. My own test is still running.

Pools (LP):

5AYxnhjN…: burned

The maker is out: the creator and the wallets I tied to them hold under 1%. The list (22).

Callers' wallets I know of are on the list too. I can't see the ones I don't know.

Alpha: points only. No money.Real money comes later.

Wallets I count as insiders

2TyGCFChYFqaXjniSbpn9ggvLhKZ2LfGwY5TwLzwx9mb
2bo3258YX65HeZFqfNkmtJMANc5wyy9FWdd26idBucy7
2omVC16AduiQQZn36yF5pwZtRJ7UQrtmuiriEpD5YTir
3PuJUSPEsVvDcxSS9nbs66SUzYBrNmezZnrqGdcCPyZw
4Z91GhCtUS1EncimdCyLpyGeCcFMhvHnudeM51dGfhDX
5AYxnhjNAV14L7foWyKUpSio6JEgxr2oUx3sMDGD9jCN
7XhaHohjsrpQPnS3bfMTMMWdwDu383mrdFK12Dqx2Bwe
8QSbwrvnCoo7bSmhayXmaikrPdeDzpAyqeHh2tSVS6hd
8cR4GNnjBa7y4euJYEZfP9H7NJpEnD5rvtgVUjkndUiD
9VbsL7pUMe9qGRZqgBDjtJipE6nqFzRvbcxvayzUmW3z
9g3nitXSMQo6ZLN3dFDQK4ZvAnv4VbsjDrifYnBgXtCh
APraZxedtFeTpBxKQait98LiSj9gYFLWvHzmzeZzp7Qv
BM9CcyErJcu2mjrFvUsRRrD3snGeHDDVirJLvL6EjvMN
BvpU4wMFxUdfQfqZqgKujm1hVBPJgnyQmPikAMmgT24M
CyKVmTpUqBg1GLJzgx7vNhASvXgvsNUiaJDGyqJStgLi
D2sqsmGPDuo7wWyDwFCnpvMomnNnd7kGZf8yDAVmxKEn
DNfuF1L62WWyW3pNakVkyGGFzVVhj4Yr52jSmdTyeBHm
F1sw8MejMdr7GYHfLtoaS9gHeVTV5qepAJqq4PtoiNDG
GKdcKdxyVvYJjnx97PPDfWm3SjBG5Edrbufvy6C5tV3W
GgVyhC1zQXbjjqCYvSYB5wYmtpVbaMEpbDKyyWjw921y
NEYmGzePZCZYSCYrbHzdCXbSdEUsvbjoeEfSGLFqN6p
cQxjyEP5dfRKyEubQbtD3kfVxywM5Btbs9HWXBDJmc4

My label now, since betting opened: not read yet

The evidence. Anyone can recompute it. Flagged 0 times: flag this result in the Terminal.

Points only. The board is the only prize. Nothing here is ever redeemable: no prize, no airdrop, no token. Stamps are for show.